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Attention ⚠️ The US CPI data will be released at 20:30, one hour earlier than the US market opening, and it is the most important data of this week.
Lower CPI = Federal Reserve cuts interest rates = More liquidity flows into the market = Positive.
The current market expectation for CPI is 2.8%,
If CPI is 2.8% or lower = bullish
If the CPI is 2.9% + = panic selling
Due to the poor employment data released last week, the Federal Reserve had to cut interest rates in September, so the rise in CPI will not really affect the Federal Reserve's decision-making. A drop in CPI will only enhance confidence.
There is a wait for an empty position without any holdings, as regardless of bullish or bearish sentiments, market makers will attempt to take advantage of high volatility to close positions on both sides, staying away from high leverage.
I just took a glance at the CVD, and now we have a situation of divergence between the spot and the futures. The spot is buying while the contracts are selling, which indicates that although there is a risk-averse sentiment in the market, the long-term outlook remains positive.