Currently, there are five main factors influencing the Fed's monetary policy decisions, four of which indicate that there is no need for a rate cut at this time. Let's delve into these factors:



First, the economic situation is good. The manufacturing and services purchasing managers' index (PMI) remains around 53, staying above the expansion line of 50 for eight consecutive months, indicating a healthy economic operation.

Secondly, the job market is performing strongly. The unemployment rate is only 4.1%, which is at a historic low, indicating that the job market has reached a state of full employment.

Third, the financial markets, especially the stock market, have performed excellently. In this case, it seems unnecessary to stimulate the market through interest rate cuts.

Fourth, the core inflation rate is currently 3.1%, significantly higher than the Fed's long-term target of 2%. In this situation, a rate cut could further exacerbate inflation, leading to public discontent.

The only possible factor supporting a rate cut is a preventive rate cut. However, given that the current U.S. economy does not show significant downside risks, this reasoning seems untenable.

In summary of the above analysis, the possibility of an interest rate cut in September is extremely low. Although many analysts and opinion leaders remain silent on this, we can make this judgment based on these objective data.

Next, we will continue to focus on the changes in economic indicators and the policy direction of the Fed. In this uncertain economic environment, it is crucial to remain vigilant and respond flexibly. Let's wait and see how the U.S. economy and monetary policy will develop in the coming months.
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IntrovertMetaversevip
· 08-25 04:48
Can the Intrerest Rate still rise? Looks like long positions are optimistic.
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MoneyBurnervip
· 08-24 10:47
Interest rate cuts are not possible. Continue to Build a Position, participate in new investments, and shorting.
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CryptoFortuneTellervip
· 08-24 10:28
Who can stand not lowering interest rates next year?
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NftDeepBreathervip
· 08-24 10:25
Still watching for interest rate cuts? Wake up!
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